The Pitmen have serious progress after the first round of the tournament
On October 11, in Warsaw, Shakhtar will face Real Madrid in the fourth round of the Champions League group stage. After the first round of the tournament, the Pitmen have four points and the second place in the standings of the quartet. And also – good chances of qualifying from the group. This is also confirmed by European analysts who made their next forecast for the outcome of the group round of the most prestigious club tournament in Europe.
It must be admitted that after the first three rounds, Shakhtar significantly increased the likelihood of qualifying from the group.
If before the start of the tournament the Pitmen’s chances to take the first place in the quartet were estimated at 2%, the second – at 9%, the third – at 22%, now the probability that the Donetsk team will finish first is 3%, the second – 33%, the third – 35% .
A month ago, the Pitmen’s chances of reaching the 1/8 finals of the Champions League were 12%, to the quarter-finals – 2%. Now, the probability of Shakhtar’s reaching the playoffs of the tournament is estimated at 34%, in the 1/4 finals – 5%.
It should be noted that Shakhtar has the highest “promotion” in the quartet F. Real Madrid is out of competition in the Group. Now the chances of Creamy to take first place are estimated at 96%, second – 3%, third – less than 1%.
Leipzig has lost a lot. Before the start of the tournament, the chances of the Bulls in the first place in the group were estimated at 20%, the second and third – 32% each. Now the probability of Leipzig finishing on the first line is 2%, on the second – 47%, on the third – 33%.
Less than one percent of the group’s winnings is given by analysts to Celtic (before the start of the tournament, they were 20%). The probability of the second place of the Scots is estimated at 17% against 31% a month earlier, the third – at 32% (was 33%).
If we talk about the favorites of the Champions League, they not only remained unchanged, but also increased their chances. If before the start of the tournament the probability of Manchester City winning it was estimated at 18%, now it is 24%. Bayern have increased their chances from 20% to 21%.
But Liverpool’s chances have fallen. The Reds were predicted to win the tournament with a probability of 10%, and now they give 8%. The same number of chances are given to Real, though before the start of the tournament only 6% were given to win the Creamy. The probability of winning the Champions League for PSG has fallen: if before the start of the group stage this probability was estimated at 18%, now it is 12%.
But after the first three rounds, Napoli broke into the number of tournament favorites. If before the start of the tournament no one believed in the Neapolitans, now their chance of winning is estimated at 3%.
Source: Sportarena
I am Sandra Jackson, a journalist and content creator with extensive experience in the news industry. I have been working in the news media for over five years. During this time, I have worked as an author and editor at various outlets producing high-quality content that attracts readers from different demographics.
