The Chilean team has increased its chances of making the World Cup qualifiers, although it has a minimal margin for error.
The Red After a long time, he completed his task. . He won the match he had to win. They beat Venezuela 4-2 and revitalized their hopes in the Qualifiers. The goal is only one: to qualify for the 2026 World Cup.
In this sense, according to an analysis carried out by Notus an advanced analytics and artificial intelligence company from the Matrix Consulting hub, Chile’s chances have increased. There are still chances, but the margin for error is minimal.
Diego Rodríguez and Cristóbal Garcés, engineers from the aforementioned company, used a machine learning model based on “Random Forest” to update the projections of the Chilean team after the victory over Vinotinto. By combining historical match data and FIFA rankings, they estimated the outcome probabilities (win, draw and loss) for the remaining matches, generate 20,000 simulations to predict the final leaderboard.
The analysis indicates that Chile’s chances of qualifying (from seventh place) increased to 12.75%. . Of course, options can vary greatly depending on upcoming meetings.
The possibilities of Red
The Chilean team has six finals ahead of them . The first of them will be in Paraguay against Albirroja. The Guarani team is undefeated for six games and is firmly in sixth place in the standings.
Later, he will host Ecuador, then visit Argentina and Bolivia. La Verde is seen as a crucial rival for national aspirations.
According to the Notus model, a loss to Highlands would reduce the odds to 4.4% while a tie would leave them at 11.42%. Nevertheless, A win would significantly increase them to a solid 29.4%, positioning Chile as a serious playoff contender.
How many points does Chile need to qualify?
La Roja needs points. According to Notus’ analysis, must add a total of at least 19 units to maintain a significant probability of classification (24.14%) . With 22 points, the chances of obtaining a place in the World Cup rise to 83.73%.
For now, Everyone’s team accumulates nine units, so it is urgent that they add three in their next confrontations.
The analysis shows, for its part, that the first six places (Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador and Paraguay) are practically assured, with more than 95% probability of qualification. That leaves Chile, Bolivia, Venezuela and Peru competing for the coveted playoff ticket.
Source: Latercera
I’m Scott Moore, a professional writer and journalist based in the US. I’ve been writing for various publications for over 8 years now, and have been working as an author at athletistic for the past five years. My work has been featured by some of the leading sports websites and magazines across Europe.
