Champions League begins: Bayern Munich and Manchester City lead predictions to retain crown

This Tuesday, a new edition of the European tournament begins to take place, which will see two Chileans fight to advance towards the match to obtain Orejona. Alexis Sánchez in Marseille and Charles Aránguiz in Leverkusen will be the only Chilean representatives.

Europe is preparing for a new celebration of sport. This Tuesday starts a new edition of the Champions League . Due to the World Cup in Qatar, the development of the group stage will take place between September and November and promises tempting duels.

The first two dates will be played between this week and next week. The third and fourth, the first two weeks of October and the last days between the last October and the first November.

And before the ball starts rolling in the first duel, the site FiveThirtyEight prepared an analysis with the predictions for the 32 ranked teams for this instance.

According to the results of the study, the team most likely to win the trophy is Bayern Munich with 20%, followed by Manchester City (18%) and closely followed by Paris Saint-Germain (16%) .

The projections for the Bavarian team are positive from the classification in the group stage, since the site gives them 63% chance of finishing first in Group C which they share with Barcelona, ​​Inter Milan and the Czech Plzen.

In turn, the Manchester City , which has Erling Haaland as its main goalscoring card – and who will find Signal Iduna Park again – beats Bayern in the possibility of reaching the knockout stages with 95%. Indeed, due to having faced Borussia Dortmund, Sevilla and Copenhagen in Group G, the probability of them dominating the leaderboard reaches 76% .

Even better appears the PSG of Neymar, Mbappé and Lionel Messi. The Parisian team gives them a 78% chance of finishing first in Group H in which they will face Juventus, Benfica and Maccabi Haifa. .

The last finalists

Real Madrid won the last Champions League trophy. Photo: AP.

The last definition for the Champions League of the 2021-22 edition opposed Real Madrid and Liverpool at the Stade de France, located in Saint-Denis, on May 28 where the Merengue team ended up winning 1-0 with Vinícius Junior’s solitary goal in the 59th minute.

Despite this, FiveThirtyEight gives the Reds a higher percentage of reaching the final under Jürgen Klopp’s pupils than the team managed by Carlo Ancelotti.

The English are the fourth team with the most chances of lifting Orejona, with 10%, while the Hispanic team reaches 6%, only one percentage point more than Xavi Hernández’s Barcelona. .

The chances of the Chileans

Two national players will have the opportunity to represent the country in this edition of the Champions League. Charles Aránguiz with Bayer Leverkusen and Alexis Sánchez with Olympique de Marseille .

In the case of the German club, the site gives them a 47% chance of qualifying for the round of 16 of the competition. Of course, from there, the margin is thin. Qualifying for the quarter-finals has only an 18% chance. In case of obtaining the title, it is less than 1% .

Something similar happens with the Marseilles of Sanchez . The French workforce, which must face Tottenham, Eintracht Frankfurt and Sporting Lisbon, you only have a 38% chance of reaching the top 16 . And, if they do, their main alternative will be in second place in the group (23%). If you advance, the chance of reaching the quarters is 12%. At the same time, the chances of being in the final are less than 1% .

The debuts in this edition of the Champions League of Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille will take place this Wednesday from 3:00 p.m. . The Germans will be visitors against Club Brugge, while the French will travel to Tottenham. Alexis Sánchez will not be able to take part in this game as he is suspended after being sent off in the second leg of the round of 16 against Liverpool in the last edition of the competition.

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Source: Latercera

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