International research establishes that climate change and international travel, among others, increase the risks. Additionally, many high-risk pathogens do not have a vaccine.
There is a 27.5% chance of such a deadly pandemic occurring like that of Covid-19 in the next decade as viruses emerge more frequently, and rapid implementation of vaccines is key to reducing deaths, according to a predictive health analytics company.
Climate change, increase in international travel, increasing populations and the threat posed by zoonotic diseases contribute to the risk, according to London-based Airfinity Ltd. But if effective vaccines are put in place 100 days after the discovery of a new pathogen, the probability of a deadly pandemic drops to 8.1%, according to the modeling of the signing
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In the worst-case scenario, a bird flu-like virus that mutates to allow human-to-human transmission could kill up to 15,000 people in the UK in a single day, Airfinity said.
Now that the world is living with Covid-19, health experts are turning their attention to preparing for the next potential global threat. The last two decades have already seen the emergence of three main coronaviruses that cause SARS, MERS and Covid-19, as well as the swine flu pandemic in 2009.
The rapid spread of the strain bird flu H5N1 is already causing concern. While only a small number of people have been infected so far and there is no sign that it has made the jump to person-to-person transmission, the skyrocketing rates of birds and increased raids on mammals have raised concerns among scientists and governments. What The virus could mutate in a way that could facilitate its spread.
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Many high-risk pathogens such as MERS and Zika have no approved vaccines or treatments, and existing surveillance policies are unlikely to detect a new pandemic in a timely manner, underscoring the urgent need for pandemic preparedness measures, Airfinity said.
Source: Latercera
I am David Jack and I have been working in the news industry for over 10 years. As an experienced journalist, I specialize in covering sports news with a focus on golf. My articles have been published by some of the most respected publications in the world including The New York Times and Sports Illustrated.
