The 5 factors that explain Donald Trump’s victory in the United States

Against all odds, the republican leader Donald Trump He becomes president of the United States again. And some analysts doubted a possible victory, given the complex context who has surrounded Trump since his departure from the White House in 2021.

First, under his government he received 41% approval, the lowest of any American president. since the end of the Second World War. And at the end of the mandate, this figure fell to 34%.

Later, during the 2020 presidential elections, he did not want to recognize his defeat against Joe Biden and, a few months later, His supporters led the controversial assault on the Capitol.

In parallel, asset He lost popularity following the criminal trials brought against him.

He was found guilty of 34 counts of falsifying accounting documents. silencing porn actress Stormy Daniels, on top of still being on trial for apparently changing the state of Georgia’s 2020 election results, for attempting to conspire to overturn votes, and for the assault on the Capitol.

Despite all this, Trump returns to the White House with 51% of the American vote.

What explains this triumph, in an unfavorable context? These are the 5 factors that allowed Donald Trump to be re-elected president of the United States, according to the BBC .

During the first half of Joe Biden’s administration, inflation in the United States reached 9.1%, the maximum recorded in 40 years. This could be partly explained by a hard hit from the pandemic.

The problem started when The Federal Reserve ‘aggressively’ raised interest rates in order to reduce inflation. This has led to an increase in the cost of mortgages and credit.

However, the strategy worked: in September 2024, this figure fell to 2.4%.

Anyway, a large portion of Americans felt uncomfortable with Biden’s economic management, because they had experienced low inflation and interest rates for several years.

This is why, during the vote, many people compared Biden’s economy to that of Trump, whose inflation was under control, and they would have chosen to vote for the Republican.

According to a recent survey of Gallup , 54% of voters thought Trump could manage the economy better than Kamala Harris.

One of Donald Trump’s flags during this last presidential campaign was migration an issue that 7 in 10 voters consider important, according to the Gallup poll.

In the same spirit, the Republican’s message was that The Democratic government authorized the free entry of migrants without any control and that many of them were criminals.

In the meantimehe was the candidate “concerned” about the issue and ready to take severe measures to stop this phenomenon, such as a wall on the border with Mexico.

In this campaign he promised to “seal” the borders and to be the protagonist of “the largest expulsion in U.S. history.”

According to data from US Department of Homeland Security 6.3 million migrants entered the country through the southern border in the first three years of the Biden administration.

With this context, Trump took care to name Harris, in her role as vice president, as one of those responsible for the increase in the number of migrants. arrived in the country illegally.

During Donald Trump’s first term, the Republican promised not to start new wars with other countries, a pact he maintained, despite its conflictual nature.

In this new campaign, He has once again positioned himself as the “anti-war” candidate and managed to attract a sector of voters who question the Biden administration’s spending and efforts to support Ukraine.

Trump’s promise was that if he returned to the White House, would end the war in Ukraine “in 24 hours” and that too would end the conflict in Gaza.

Of course, he did not specify how he would do this.

At the start of the campaigns, the dispute was between Donald Trump and Joe Biden who was seeking re-election. At the time, the Democrat was leading in the polls.

However, in early 2024, Biden began to lose popularity, notably because His age and supposed cognitive deterioration began to be questioned.

Trump and Biden managed to participate in a debate where the Democrat showed complications in his argument and, to calm things down, a few days later he announced his departure from the presidential race and presented his vice-president, Kamala Harris, as a new candidate.

Harris faced the challenge of shedding criticized Biden policies but also to meet voters who are much more familiar with Trump.

From the BBC, They assured that the Democrat had tried to present her candidacy “as the option of generational ‘change’ and joy, but “did not seem to convince voters dissatisfied with the American political system.”

On the other hand, even if it were the card for many female voters, Harris would have lost ground with the male vote.

Make America Great Again (MAGA). Under this motto, Millions of people at all levels feel represented by Donald Trump’s proposal to “make America great again.”

So much so that even the Republican He had the support of young black men and also Latinos.

Even if the profile of a Trump loyalist is quite characteristic: according to a study by UC Davies University published in January 2024, 15% of the American adult population feels represented by MAGA.

Among them, most are white (81%) and without university studies (77.8%).

They also tend to believe that discrimination against whites is “equal to or worse than that against blacks” (71.6%) and 51% think that the native white population is displaced by immigrants.

Since his first administration, Trump has strived to be a representative figure of this population group who generally come from regions where the economic situation has deteriorated.

Trump legitimizes their discontent.

Furthermore, they are ultraconservative Christians who also gave their vote to Trump since the Republican has repeatedly given in to their demands, such as the revocation of the right to abortion.