Theoretically, the optimal strategy in Baku would be one tire change, but the very likely safety car exit could change everything.
Pirelli believes starting on Medium and moving up to Hard as the race progresses will provide maximum flexibility, albeit a very conservative one. Those who want to take a risk can start on Soft, which provides more speed in the first laps, but also for an earlier pit stop to go to Hard.
The strategy of two pit stops, if there is no safety car exit, is experienced by Pirelli as less fast.
Mario Isola: “During qualifying, the riders only used soft tires, alternating fast and slow laps as track conditions improved.
The teams also focused on soft tires in the third training session, which took place at the same time as the race starts tomorrow. We believe that soft tires will also play an important role tomorrow.
There are several options for the strategy, but in theory a single tire change has a clear advantage. Interestingly, many saved two sets of Hard for the race, perhaps thinking of red flags or other incidents.
Source: F1 News

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