The Ukrainian group has the greatest chance of delegating a third team to the playoffs. But the blue-yellows have the least chances of leaving the quartet. Layouts before the final round of Euro 2024

Even a draw with Belgium does not guarantee Sergei Rebrov’s team exit from the group

On Euro 2024 has 12 matches left to play final round. Ukrainehaving beaten Slovakia, improved your chances of leaving the group, however, they remain the smallest in the quartet. We talk about all options for the blue-yellows, as well as an assessment of the teams’ chances for the playoffs.

Before the matches of the third round, three teams were guaranteed tickets to the 1/8 finals – Germany, Spain and Portugal. Moreover, of these three teams, the Spaniards and Portuguese guaranteed themselves first place in the quartet.

According to analysts, quartets A, C, D and E, in which Ukraine plays, have the highest chances of delegating a third team to the playoffs. The probability of such a configuration is estimated at 31%. At the same time, analysts believe that with a high degree of probability – more than 95% – the teams of Switzerland (A), England (C), France and the Netherlands (D) will make it to the playoffs. Experts give 80% for Belgium and Romania (E) and Turkey (F) to reach the playoffs.

Based on these forecasts, spots in the final round will be competed for by Hungary/Scotland (group A), Serbia/Slovenia (C), Austria and Ukraine/Slovakia (E).

But in Quartet E itself, Ukraine still has the worst chance of reaching the playoffs – 57%. The chances of Slovakia are estimated at 71%, Romania – 82%, Belgium – 84%.

To qualify for the Euro 2024 playoffs, Ukraine has several conditions. The first is a victory over Belgium. With this option, Ukraine will definitely qualify for the playoffs.

A draw with Belgium may be enough for the blue-and-yellows, if in a parallel match Slovakia and Romania do not sign the world title. If there are two draws in the group, Ukraine will finish fourth.

Ukraine may even lose to Belgium, but then the blue-and-yellows need a victory for Romania over Slovakia. In this situation, Ukraine will finish third in the group with three points.

The Ukrainian national team takes last place in Group E. Let us remind you that in our quartet all four teams have three points after two rounds. In the next match, Ukraine will meet with Belgium on June 26.

Source: Sportarena

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