What will happen to NATO if Donald Trump is the new president of the United States?

The United States is a key player in the alliance on global issues. European leaders are wondering what it would look like if they were to win a second term.

The presidential elections of UNITED STATES They will be held in November 2024, in an acute political context. both nationally and internationally.

On the one hand, today the current American president Joe Biden (81 years old) has announced that he will not run again amid a series of questions about his candidacy from the Democratic Party itself, where it was questioned whether it was able to compete with Donald Trump (78).

This is due to factors such as his age and the fact that faced several failures when speaking at campaign and other presidential events.

With, when was it developed first debate This year he had difficulty questioning the Republican when he said fake news or made claims that turned out to be false.

A little less than a month after this incident, Saturday July 13, Trump was the victim of an attack while he was attending a rally with his supporters in Butler, Pennsylvania.

The episode was released by a young man named Thomas Matthew Crooks (20 years old), arrived armed with a semi-automatic rifle AR-15 and opened fire from a nearby rooftop.

They signed up two injured and two dead One of the victims was the attacker himself, who was killed by secret service agents.

Less than a week later, Trump accepted his electoral nomination and confirmed his position in the race to reach the White House for a second term. .

Also gave his first public speech after the attack to Butler, from where he emerged with an injured right ear.

In addition to claiming he is running for president of “the entire United States” and paying tribute to Corey Comperatore, who died in the attack, he said the country had “incompetent leadership” and that “Our planet is on the brink of World War III.” .

What will happen to NATO if Trump wins? Photo: Donald Trump.

The international challenge of the next American president

These latest statements come at a delicate time globally, where Conflicts continue in territories such as the Middle East and Ukraine .

Just a few days Before what happened in Pennsylvania, the same week, the international summit of the 75th anniversary of the NATO .

Between July 9 and 11, the leaders of the member countries met in Washington to discuss various issues of interest to the Alliance .

One of the central topics was precisely the invasion of Russia in the country of President Volodymyr Zelensky.

In this direction, The bloc has confirmed new economic and military aid to help with its defence work against the Kremlin troops, who are trying to advance on the front.

Although not currently a member of the Alliance, Western allies assured that “the future of Ukraine lies in NATO” .

We will continue to support him on his irreversible path towards integration a complete Euro-Atlantic area, including NATO membership,” they stressed at the summit.

What will happen to NATO if Trump wins? Photo: NATO leaders meet at the alliance summit in Washington, USA, in July 2024.

Likewise, the President Biden said: “The war will end and Ukraine will remain a free and independent country. “Russia will not win” .

However, The position of the United States – a key player in the bloc – on global issues could change if Trump wins. the elections.

On Friday, July 19, the Republican candidate assured that he had spoken by telephone with Zelensky and He promised that if he won the election, he would lead a “negotiation” between Ukraine and Russia, in order to achieve “an end to the war.” .

“The two parts They will be able to meet and negotiate a pact “to end violence and pave the way for prosperity,” the president said in his platform. Social truth .

For his part, Zelensky counted on his story X (ex Twitter) that congratulated him on his appointment and wished him “strength and absolute security” for what happened in Pennsylvania.

Regarding the situation in his country, he said that appreciated “the vital bipartisan and bicameral support of the United States to protect our nation’s freedom and independence” .

Ukraine will always be grateful to the United States for your help in strengthening our capacity to resist Russian terrorism. “The attacks on our cities and villages continue every day.”

Under this line, he clarified that they agreed “discuss in a personal meeting the measures that can make peace just and truly lasting. .

The day before, Thursday, July 18, Zelensky had admitted in a television interview with the BBC What Facing a possible Trump administration would be “hard work, but we are hard workers.” .

However, Some are skeptical about her relationship with NATO if she wins the vote. and reach the White House for the second time.

What will happen to NATO if Trump wins? Photo: Donald Trump.

What will happen to NATO if Donald Trump wins the election?

Rafael Loss, a member of the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), suggested that If this happens, “a crisis of political leadership” could be triggered. .

“If Trump decides to make a deal with Putin to end the war in Ukraine and throws Ukraine into the mix, it will significantly increase the threat to the rest of Europe.” said the representative in statements saved by Deutsche Welle .

Others fear that the Republican, if he wins the election, will begin a process to withdraw the United States from NATO .

This alarm comes following statements such as those made by John Bolton, one of his former security advisers, Washington Post in March 2024.

In this case, he said that believes Trump may make efforts to withdraw his country from the Alliance if he gets a second term.

He also said that the Russian President Vladimir Putin could “hope” for it .

Political analyst and associate member of the Jacques Delors Institute Pierre Haroche told DW that it is likely that some leaders of European powers expect (without publicly shouting it) that he will not win or that, if he does, he will adopt a more accommodating attitude towards Europe .

Despite this, he assured that “the truth is that there is nothing clear on the table because, in part, no one has wanted to send the signal that they anticipate Trump’s presidency or his abandonment, even if has been a credible scenario for many years “.

According to Haroche’s analysis, Trump’s re-election could generate disunity in Europe .

“The real risk is that everyone will look out for their own interests and be unable to present a unified position and act coherently.” he stated.

The week after Butler’s attack, Trump confirmed JD Vance would run as his vice presidential candidate .

The Republican senator – who in the past had been a harsh critic of the former president and even called him “America’s Hitler” in 2016 during a private conversation that was later revealed – said in a statement: podcast with Steve Bannon in 2022 who “I don’t care what happens in Ukraine one way or another” .

What will happen to NATO if Trump wins? Photo: Donald Trump / JD Vance.

In February 2024, at the Munich Security Conference, Vance also said that “there are many different types of bad guys in the world” and that “At the moment I am much more interested in some of the problems in East Asia than in those in Europe.” .

His words woke up antibodies in several European leaders .

Ricarda Lang, co-leader of the German Green Party and co-panelist at the conference, said: Vance’s comments suggest Trump would ‘hand Ukraine over to Putin’ .

After being confirmed as the vice presidential candidate, he said the scenario was “worrying for Europe” .

On the other hand, German legislator David McAllister pointed out to the aforementioned European media that Vance ‘strongly opposes increased U.S. support for Ukraine in its fight against Russian invasion’ .

Furthermore, he accused that “supports additional tariffs on imports from Europe” and who “has criticized the continent for its excessive dependence on the euro” .

Source: Latercera

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