Athletistic/Tennis. Fifth seed and former world number one Daniil Medvedev will face German Jan-Lennard Struff in the third round at Wimbledon 2024.

The reigning world number five has reached the final twice in 2024, losing to Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz at the Australian Open and BNP Paribas Open respectively. He lost to Alex de Minaur in the fourth round of Roland Garros.

Medvedev’s grass-court form has not been exceptional prior to this year’s Wimbledon. He has only played at the Terra Wortmann Open in Halle, where he suffered a sensational first-round loss to Zhang Zhizhen. Medvedev opened Wimbledon with a 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 win over Aleksandar Kovacevic in the first round. In the second round, he lost the first set to Alexander Muller, but then recovered and won the match in four sets.

Jan-Lennard Struff, in turn, won his first ATP title at the Bavarian International, defeating Taylor Fritz in the final. With the exception of that win in Munich, Struff’s rest of the season was unimpressive. The German did not advance to the second week of any Grand Slam tournament this year. He lost in the second and third rounds to Miomir Kecmanovic and Alex de Minaur at the Australian Open and Roland Garros, respectively.

During the grass court season, the 34-year-old reached the quarter-finals twice in a row at the Stuttgart and Terra Wortmann Open tournaments. He retired against Brandon Nakashima in Stuttgart and lost to Jannik Sinner in Halle. At Wimbledon this year, Struff had to play tough four-set matches to defeat Fabian Marozsand and Zhang Zhizhen. Of the eight sets Struff played, three were decisive.

Medvedev leads the confrontations 5-1. The Russian player won the last Davis Cup match in 2021.

Prediction for the match between Daniil Medvedev and Jan-Lennard Struff

Medvedev won 70% of the points on his serve in the second round match. However, he could only win 38% of the points he received. He struggled to create break chances and managed to break only 4 times out of 14 attempts. Medvedev also went to the net 45 times, winning 67% of the points. This kind of net play is new for the Russian, who is known for his excellent baseline play.

Struff has won 84% of his points on his serve. He has also played well at the net, winning 74% of his points, going there 50 times. Struff’s only win over Medvedev came on grass at the 2021 Terra Wortmann Open. Medvedev defeated the German at Wimbledon 2021. There may be tiebreakers in the match as both players have good serves. However, considering the overall head-to-head ratio and current form, Medvedev is the favorite in the match.

Forecast: Medvedev wins in four sets.

Vyacheslav Gorbachev, Athletistic



Athletistic